Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Tues 5.2.23
| “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
| Date: | 5/2/2023 |
| Featured Track/Race: | Churchill Downs – Race 9 |
| Race overview: | A wide-open MSW routing at 1 ¼ miles on the main track for 3up. |
| Pace: | Expect things to be a crawl early, as these maidens will be tested running the Kentucky Derby distance, which means they will be handled gently early on, in the hopes of saving something for later. |
| Trends: | N/A |
| Best Play: | #7 GRAGGADOCIOUS (9-2): This is a pedigree race as much as anything, and this Gun Runner gelding has it in spades, as a half to Preakness runner-up Bravazo for Rusty Arnold, who is 29% with second-out maidens, so in a race with several who have had their chances, this one looks primed off a strong 4th going to the first finish line in his Kee unveiling last month, in what was undoubtedly a prep for this. |
| Bet Types: | Aggressive WP bet at 5-2 or better and get some built-in value by singling to end the late Pk5/Pk4 as well. |
| Meet/POD Stats: | CD Meet: 10-4-1-2 ($1.87/$5.28 ROI through 5/1)
CD POD: 1-0-1-0 (X ROI through 5/1)
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