Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sat 5.6.23
| “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
| Date: | 5/6/2023 |
| Featured Track/Race: | Churchill Downs – Race 7 |
| Race overview: | A deep and competitive renewal of the G2 Turf Sprint, with countless win possibilities, though none have the upside and potential move forward like #4 BIG INVASION (7-2). |
| Pace: | It’s a G2 turf sprint so they’ll be flying early, and there are several that want to be a part of it, so wiring seems a bit implausible. |
| Trends: | They just haven’t run enough races over the new turf to get a true feel, though it undoubtedly should be a fairer course than the speedier ones in Florida and California. |
| Best Play: | #4 BIG INVASION (7-2): Ace 3yo turf sprinter looked intent on being the best turf in the country in his 4yo bow, where he ran down a loose multiple G3 winner who owns the GP lawn, and today he should only move forward, while tripping out off the speed too. |
| Bet Types: | Aggressive WP bet, while getting adding value by singling in all the expansive horizontal exotics as well. |
| Meet/POD Stats: | CD Meet: 10-4-1-2 ($1.87/$5.28 ROI through 5/1)
CD POD: 1-0-1-0 (X ROI through 5/1)
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