Nadeau: Play of the Day Sat 5.13.23
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
Date: | 5/13/2023 |
Featured Track/Race: | Churchill Downs – Race 3 |
Race overview: | A predictably deep and competitive 20k starter-allowance that has several with winning chances. |
Pace: | There’s not much here, and several who want to come from well out of it, which means #3 SLAM DUNK SERMON (9-2) has a big edge, provided he breaks this time. |
Trends: | The main track had a speed/inside feel to it early on Derby Day but it evened out late for sure. And as a whole, it’s been fair throughout the meet, though speed and being forward is always preferred. |
Best Play: | #3 SLAM DUNK SERMON (9-2): Dangerous sort didn’t break against better last time and lost all chance but with an alert beginning here, over a field where several contenders want to come from far back, he has a huge chance if he breaks alertly. |
Bet Types: | Aggressive WP bet and single in the early Pk5/Pk4 as well. |
Meet/POD Stats: | CD Meet: 67-9-5-6 ($1.06/$3.86 ROI through 5/6)
CD POD: 6-0-1-0
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