Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sat 11.18.23
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
Date | 11/18/2022 |
Featured track | Churchill Downs |
Race number | 4 |
Race overview | A seemingly competitive 20k MCL for 3up at 6 ½ Fs on the main. |
Pace | There’s not a lot of true sprint speed signed on, which means if #8 CHITWOOD (9-2) breaks running this time, he can clear off early. |
Trends | The main track played very fair last week, with winners coming from everywhere, and there were no apparent path biases either. |
Best Play | #8 CHITWOOD (9-2): The expected speed didn’t break last time, then rushed up and paid the price late, but with an alert beginning he can control the tempo, and he should be tighter second-off the layoff as well, against a group there for the taking. |
Bet Types | Aggressive WP bet and single in the early Pk5/Pk4, and middle Pk5 as well. |
Play of the Day Winners | CD POD: 7-2-1-2 ($1.73/$5.03 through 11/12)
CD meet: 88-236-16-12 ($1.97/$5.65 through 11/12)
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