Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sat 10.29.23

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/29/2022      Featured track  Churchill Downs       Race number  6      Race overview  A relatively meek AOC for 3up f/ms going 6 ½ Fs on the main track.       Pace  It should be honest, as more than a few want to be involved early.      Trends  N/A       Best Play  #11 Barbratina (4-1): Awesome debut winner was private purchase after and transferred to Cox, who is 29% with barn newcomers, and it looks like she’s caught the right kind of field to make back some of what they paid for…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Sat 10.28.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/28/2022      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  4      Race overview  A seemingly modest MSW for 3up f/ms going 6Fs on the main, with a field that looks littered with horses with little to no upside.       Pace  Things should be honest up front, as it’s a full field with several who have shown some initiative in the past.      Trends  The main track tilted a bit towards off-the-pace runners over the weekend, but has, for the most part, played fair during the meet.       Best Play  #4 FOXFIRE (7-2):…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Fri 10.26.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/27/2022      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  8      Race overview  A deep and competitive renewal of the G3 Valley View for 3yo fillies going 1-mile on turf.       Pace  It looks relatively tepid, as there’s very little confirmed speed signed on, which means a tactical gear will come in handy.      Trends  N/A       Best Play  #6 SECRET MONEY (5-1) (turf only): Versatile miss can run on or just off the lead and she showed her true colors with a win at KD, and note she was just a…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Fri 10.26.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/26/2022      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  5      Race overview  A seemingly very weak MSW for 3up fms going 1-mile on the turf.       Pace  There are a slew of deep closers here, so tactical speed should play, especially since there’s no confirmed front runners entered either.      Trends  N/A       Best Play  #7 RED RIVER MAIGC (5-2) (turf only): Stretch out sprinter was a strong stalking 2nd in her turf bow last time, is bred to relish the added ground/turn she gets, and her tactical speed sprinting could…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Wed 10.25.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/25/2022      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  4      Race overview  A predictably deep and competitive N1X for 3up sprinting 5 ½ Fs on the turf.       Pace  It’s a turf sprint, so it should be honest up front, especially since the majority of the speed is drawn outside.      Trends  N/A       Best Play  #4 SUMMER IN MALIBU (6-1) (turf only): Veteran tried the turf last time and ran huge, with plenty of trouble to boot, and now catches a group that he has a big recency edge on,…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Sat 10.21.23

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/21/2022      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  6      Race overview  A solid renewal of the 250k Perryville, led by #1 Verifying (E) for 3yos going 7Fs on the main track.       Pace  There’s not much here at all, which means Verifying is likely going from the rail, with #5 DR. VENKMAN (7-2) pressing him the entire way.      Trends  The main track continues to be on the fair side, and even tilted a bit towards stalker/closers over the weekend.       Best Play  #5 DR. VENKMAN (7-2): Southern California…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Fri 10.20.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau Date 10/20/2022 Featured track Keeneland Race number 6   Race overview A strong 10k starter-allowance going 1 1/8 miles on the main track.   Pace For this elongated trip, it seems very honest, as there are ore than a few who want to be involved early. Trends The main track continues to be on the fair side, and even tilted a bit towards stalker/closers over the weekend.   Best Play #4 Nepal Up (4-1): Stretch runner just-missed to #3 Tiger Moon (3-1) last time while well clear of 3rd, and the flow today, not to mention the extra half-furlong, should help…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Thurs 10.19.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/19/2022      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  7      Race overview  An extremely weak N1X for 3up going 1 1/16 miles on the turf, with very few with upside.       Pace  There are a few that want to be involved early, though things don’t appear overly heated up front, so expect a tight pace and a ¼-mile sprint to the finish.      Trends  N/A       Best Play  #3 Clyde’s Got a Gun (9-2) (turf only): CD MSW winner looked great shaking off plenty of trouble early and often and rallying…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Wed 10.18.23

” PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau Date 10/18/2022 Featured track Keeneland Race number 7   Race overview An extremely weak N1X routing 1 1/16 miles on the turf for f/ms.   Pace There’s not much here at all, and several deep closers are entered, so tactical speed should be at a premium. Trends N/A   Best Play #5 Hola Gata (2-1) (turf only): Brown filly had a tough beginning and trip at KD but still was up in time to break her maiden, catches a very meek crew on the rise, and should be closer early with a cleaner break, for a barn that has been…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Sun 10.15.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/15/2022      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  8      Race overview  A seemingly very meek N1X for 3up going 6 ½ Fs on the main.       Pace  It looks honest enough, as there are more than a few who want to be close early, so a stalking gear should play well.      Trends  Through three days of racing, the main track played very fair, with winners coming from everywhere.       Best Play  #1 You Ain’t Poppn (3-1): Walsh runner looked good winning on debut, which is not something that’s typical…

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