Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Thurs 5.4.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  5/4/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 7      Race overview:  A deep 50k MCL with more than a few possibilities, though none have the upside of MSW dropper #8 KIKI KRAZY (7-2)       Pace:  It’s a full field, so it should be hot and contested, which means a rating gear is preferred.      Trends:  It’s still early in the meet, but the main track has tilted towards off-the-pace types, as speed has struggled to hold, for the most part.       Best Play:  #8 KIKI KRAZY (7-2): MSW dropper has had…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Tues 5.2.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  5/2/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 9      Race overview:  A wide-open MSW routing at 1 ¼ miles on the main track for 3up.       Pace:  Expect things to be a crawl early, as these maidens will be tested running the Kentucky Derby distance, which means they will be handled gently early on, in the hopes of saving something for later.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #7 GRAGGADOCIOUS (9-2): This is a pedigree race as much as anything, and this Gun Runner gelding has it in spades, as a…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Wed 5.3.23

new  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  5/3/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 7      Race overview:  A solid, though hardly spectacular N1X going a tricky 7 ½ furlongs on the main.       Pace:  It looks potentially hot and contested, as there are a trio who want to be involved early, and all three are stretching out off shorter sprints last time, so a tactical gear could come in handy.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #5 SPARTAN ARMY (8-1): FG invader woke up as a first-time gelding last time, and had a troubled trip too,…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sat 4.29.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/29/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 5      Race overview:  A very weak MSW for 3up sprinting on the main, and it’s the distance that’s key here, as it will play to #4 MAPPER (3-1) a lot more than it will to #7 Sidekick (5-2).       Pace:  It should be hot and contested, as not only are there ore than a few who want to be involved early, but there is a slew of firsters entered too, several of which have bullet drills for their unveiling.      Trends:  N/A      …

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Fri 4.28.23

new  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/28/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 6      Race overview:  A meek MSW routing on turf for f/ms, which means it’s there for the taking, and #9 PURE COUNTRY (6-1) looks primed.       Pace:  There’s not much on paper, so expect a compact group, with #8 Sahlabiya (5-2) likely leading early.      Trends:  They don’t run enough turf races to confidently think there’s a trend, though the majority of the races have tilted towards stalkers.       Best Play:  #9 PURE COUNTRY (6-1) (turf only): GP invader had a real troubled…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Sunday 4.23.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/23/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 3      Race overview:  A below-average 50k claimer going 7Fs on the main, which means a class riser in great form, like #6 KEEN LADY (7-2), might be in a prime spot.       Pace:  It looks slow to non-existent, as several are confirmed one-run closers, so the ability to lay close is paramount.      Trends:  The main track has tilted towards speed (which is nothing unusual), though there has been no obvious biases in terms of running styles or paths, while the turf has been on…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Sat 4.22.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/22/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 3      Race overview:  An uninspiring 30k MCL going 7Fs on the main, with very few entering with proven, trustworthy form.       Pace:  It looks on the slow side, as there’s not much sprint speed entered, and there are also some confirmed closers as well, so you better be able to lay close early.      Trends:  The main track has tilted towards speed (which is nothing unusual), though there has been no obvious biases in terms of running styles or paths, while the turf has been…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Fri 4.21.23

Date: 4/21/2023 Featured Track/Race: Keeneland – Race 4   Race overview: An uninspiring MSW routing on the main for f/ms, with a 2-1 ML favorite (#1), who hasn’t been seen since 3/13/22.   Pace: Expect things to be moderate up front, as there’s not a lot of real speed signed on, in a race where a lot of these are suspect at the distance as well. Trends: The main track has tilted towards speed (which is nothing unusual), though there has been no obvious biases in terms of running styles or paths, while the turf has been on fair side.   Best Play: #4 MAGIC PALACE (9-2): Tactical…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Thurs 4.20.23

Date:  4/20/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 5      Race overview:  A seemingly below average N1X sprinting on turf, with very little trusted, proven form to go on.       Pace:  It’s a turf sprint, so there will be plenty of it, so look for someone with a rating gear that can pick the speed off in the stretch.      Trends:  The main track has tilted towards speed (which is nothing unusual), though there has been no obvious biases in terms of running styles or paths, while the turf has been on fair side.       Best Play:  #9 PEACH COBBLER (7-2): (turf only):…

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Nadeau: Keeneland Play of the Day Wed 4.19.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/19/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 4      Race overview:  A seemingly below average MSW routing on the turf for 3yo fillies, with the proven runners looking uninspiring, and therefore at the mercy of a fresh new face.       Pace:  It looks on the slow side, as there’s not much confirmed on paper, while there are several who want to come from well out of it.      Trends:  The main track has tilted towards speed (which is nothing unusual), though there has been no obvious biases in terms of running styles or…

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