Author Archives: Brian Nadeau

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  7/21/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 10      Race overview:  A deep and competitive field of NYB MSWs going 1 1/16 miles on the Mellon turf.       Pace:  It’s a bit muddles, as there are some firsters, along with stretch out sprinters, which suggests it could be honest.      Trends:  Tactical speed will always play on the turf, as it’s often tough to make up significant ground.       Best Play:  #3 MISSION HILL (12-1) (turf only): Mott runner was an even 6th turn sprinting on debut at Belmont, for a barn…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  7/16/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 4      Race overview:  A competitive field of 14k N3L’s sprinting 6Fs on the main.       Pace:  It looks honest, as there are more than a few who want to be involved early, though none of them a pure burners either, so it doesn’t have the feel of a race that will fall apart late.      Trends:  It’s early in the meet, so there’s nothing current to gleam, though as a general rule of thumb, being close early on the main track is always a positive. …

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  7/15/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 5      Race overview:  A solid field of NYB N1X runners going 6Fs on the main track.       Pace:  It looks honest, as there are more than a few here that want to be close early, though there’s also no true burners either.      Trends:  It’s early in the meet, so there’s nothing current to gleam, though as a general rule of thumb, being close early on the main track is always a positive.       Best Play:  #8 MARIACHI (5-2): Lightly raced colt ran huge…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  7/13/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 5      Race overview:  A full, albeit a relatively watered down, field of veteran 20k claimers going 1 1/8 miles on the main.        Pace:  It actually appears relatively honest, though it’s 2023 in NY, so expect things to be painfully slow early, with little initiative taken.      Trends:  It’s obviously Opening Day, so there’s nothing current to gleam, though as a general rule of thumb, you want to be close early going two turns on the main, as races rarely fall apart late.      …

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  7/14/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 10      Race overview:  A full field of 12 35k claimers routing 1 1/16 miles on the turf.       Pace:  Expect things to be slow early and a sprint late, as there’s not a ton of early speed entered—at least on paper.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #3 HILLIARD (7-2) (turf only): Versatile sort was a month the best last time but had plenty of trouble, yet still ran only strongly in a speed race, and now looks primed against this group.     …

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  7/8/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Belmont Park – Race 10      Race overview:  A deep and competitive renewal of the G1 Belmont Derby for 3yos, going 1 ¼ miles on the inner turf.       Pace:  Expect a slow pace with a bunched group, led by #8 Kalik (5-1), who wired the local prep, the G2 Pennine Ridge last time.      Trends:  The turf course has been fast and firm for the majority of the meet, which has yielded quick splits while showing a penchant for carrying speed a bit farther than you might expect. …

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  7/2/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Ellis Park – Race 1      Race overview:  A meek 50k N2L for f/ms sprinting 6Fs on the main, with very few who have the form to win.       Pace:  There’s none here, aside from #5 EMPIRE OF MY OWNA (3-1), who should shake loose early over a track that has played to her kind.      Trends:  It’s now painfully obvious that there is as intense an inside rail bias on the main track that has been seen in quite some time, as countless winners have wired on the…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  7/1/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Ellis Park – Race 11      Race overview:  A solid renewal of the Tepin, for 3yof going 1-mile on turf.       Pace:  It’s pretty cut and dried, as #3 Heavenly Sunday (5-2) will carve out the splits, with #5 XIGERA (2-1) spying her from the outside.      Trends:  N/A: They just haven’t run enough turf races to get any definitive feel, not to mention they’ve been forced OFF of late as well.       Best Play:  #5 XIGERA (2-1) (turf only): Classy 2yo toyed with a group of older…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  6/30/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Ellis Park – Race 6      Race overview:  A modest 20k MCL routing 1 1/16 miles on the main.       Pace:  There’s none here, aside from #4 EMBRACEABLE (8-1), who should shake loose early, against a field littered with deep closers too.      Trends:  It’s now painfully obvious that there is as intense an inside rail bias on the main track that has been seen in quite some time, as countless winners have wired on the rail, many of which have been implausible, or certainly down the pecking order…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  6/29/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Ellis Park – Race 8      Race overview:  A deep and competitive AOC at 1 1/8 miles on the main for f/ms.       Pace:  I’m expecting #4 MAGIC BUBBLES (6-1) to control things early, as she had a disadvantageous outside post last time and got caught dueling with #5 She’s Lookin Lucky (3-1) last time, but drew much better here, and after frying the latter, you’d think that miss won’t want to get caught up with her again early here.      Trends:  It’s now painfully obvious that there is…