Author Archives: Brian Nadeau

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/9/24      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  7       Race overview  A compact field in an AOC for 3fs going 6Fs on the main track.       Pace  There’s not much here, which should allow #1 SILVER ROSE (2-1) to make the point, and hopefully only widen from there.      Trends  The main track played to speed and was FAST, as the fractions were ridiculously quick, yet horses kept going, so make sure to monitor things early in the week and proceed accordingly.      Best Play  #1 SILVER ROSE (2-1):…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/6/24      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  2       Race overview  A full field of 50k MCL’ers for 2yof at 6Fs on the main track.       Pace  It should be honest, as there’s several first-time starters, as well as several with experience who have shown speed.      Trends  N/A       Best Play  #10 WHEREVER WE ARE (4-1): Ward firster has JV up, who rides all the live runners at Kee for this barn, and with a modest group of proven runners, a perfect outside attack post, and a trainer…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/5/24      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  3       Race overview  A weak MSW for 2yo fillies at 7Fs on the main track.       Pace  It should be honest, as there’s more than a few first-time starters, and a few of the experienced ones have shown some early foot too.      Trends  N/A       Best Play  #4 IMPULSE BUY (5-2): Brisset filly was 5-1 and ran on debut at Ellis for a barn that rarely wins with a firster, but is 28% with 2nd-time maidens, which says this was the…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  10/4/24      Featured track  Keeneland       Race number  5       Race overview  A predictably deep and competitive full field of N2X for 3upfm going 1 1/8 miles on the turf.       Pace  Expect a strung out field, as there are a few speeds (#7 and #9), some stalkers, and some deep closers as well, and at this demanding distance, stamina should come into play late.      Trends  N/A – They won’t be running many on the turf during the meet, but at this distance, over this course, stamina is a bit more…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  9/29/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs       Race number  6       Race overview  A compact field of six in an MSW going a stamina-testing 1 ¼ miles.       Pace  Expect it to be a crawl early, as this is not a distance you’re going to see often on the main track, and several are no guarantee to see it out either.      Trends  It’s all dirt all the time at the meet, and the main track continues to play fair, as all running styles have had repeatedly won races.     …

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  9/28/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs       Race number  1       Race overview  A solid 30k MCL for 3up at 6 ½ furlongs        Pace  It looks on the tepid side, as there aren’t many who want to motor early, so tactical speed seems essential.       Trends  It’s all dirt all the time at the meet, and the main track continues to play fair, as all running styles have had repeatedly won races.      Best Play  #6 GUN BARREL (3-1): MSW dropper looks spotted to score with apprentice son Erik…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  9/27/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs       Race number  5       Race overview  A modest 20k N3L for 3upfm at 1 1/16 miles.       Pace  It looks on the tepid side, which suggests a bunched group that will sprint off the far turn.      Trends  It’s all dirt all the time at the meet, and the main track continues to play fair, as all running styles have had repeatedly won races.      Best Play  #6 MO SENSE (5-1): A bit of a bold play here, but this filly aired in the…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  9/26/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs       Race number  7       Race overview  A seemingly wide-open N1X for 3up at the marathon distance (for the main track) of 1 ¼ miles.       Pace  Expect things to crawl early, as this is not a distance you see often, and several won’t be able to handle it, which suggests things will be extremely tepid up front.      Trends  It’s all dirt all the time at the meet, and the main track continues to play fair, as all running styles have had repeatedly won…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  9/25/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs       Race number  6       Race overview  An overflow field of 3upfm 20k MCL’ers going 6 ½ furlongs.       Pace  There’s not a ton here, as more than a few want to come from the clouds, so at the very least, tactical speed seems essential.      Trends  It’s all dirt all the time at the meet, and the main track continues to play fair, as all running styles have had repeatedly won races.      Best Play  #8 DESPO’S DREAM (5-2): Class dropper didn’t like…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date  9/22/24      Featured track  Churchill Downs       Race number  3       Race overview  A meek 20k MCL for 3up at 6 ½ furlongs.       Pace  It looks honest, as there are a few who want to move early, though it doesn’t appear to be too overly heated either.      Trends  It’s all dirt all the time at the meet, and the main track was very fair last week, and even seemed to tilt a bit towards off-the-pace types.      Best Play  #4 STARSCAPE (5-2): MSW runner takes the biggest drop…