Handicapping

Play of the Day Race Date October 30, 2020 Track Churchill Downs Race 8 Overview A very competitive AOC, where plenty of value lies. Pace Things don’t look overly heated early, as there are a few who want to be close to the pace, but no true confirmed front runners, which should benefit #6 SIR ALFRED JAMES (5-1). Trends It’s early in the meet, but things seem fair on the main track so far. Best Bet SIR ALFRED JAMES Number 6 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #6 SIR ALFRED JAMES (5-1): Got caught chasing a wire-to-wire winner last time, but today he should be closer to what…

Play of the Day Race Date October 29, 2020 Track Churchill Downs Race 9 Overview A N1X filled with several with little to no upside, and #7 FORTUITY (10-1), who has run just five times and enters on the improve. Pace It should be slow early, especially going this long 1 3/8 miles. Trends N/A Best Bet FORTUITY Number 7 Morning Line (10-1) Turf Only Best Bet Overview Lightly raced runner has been moving forward with his form, was just 2nd in a lifetime best run, and should sit a great just off what looks like a very soft pace. Picks & Plays WPS bet, EXBX 7 w…

Play of the Day Race Date October 28, 2020 Track Churchill Downs Race 10 Overview An extremely weak 8k N2L, even for this level, with just two viable candidates—#6 Drink (9-5) and #9 SUBDUED (3-1)—with the latter gaining a big advantage drawing outside the former. Pace It figures honest, as both #6 Drink (9-5) and #9 SUBDUED (3-1) want to be involved throughout, but with no one too hot behind them, it shouldn’t matter much. Trends With just one card run, it’s tough to get much of a feel, though the main track seemed to play very fair Sunday. Best Bet SUBDUED Number 9 Morning Line (3-1) Best…

Play of the Day Race Date October 25, 2020 Track Churchill Downs Race 9 Overview #9 BUSINESS MODEL (4-1): Loved the marked improvement trying two turns last time, and he should only build off that here. A seemingly average group of 2yos that haven’t shown much, while #9 BUSINESS MODEL (4-1) really improved in his second start, while trying tow turns as well. Pace It figures honest to potentially fast, as several are stretching out off debut sprint runs, while facing a clubhouse turn for the first time. Trends N/A Best Bet BUSINESS MODEL Number 9 Morning Line (4-1) Best Bet Overview A seemingly average group of 2yos…

Play of the Day Race Date October 24, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 9 Overview A solid 3yof ALW with a few class droppers, and two potentially talented Euro imports—8 Faccio Io and #9 Kourvoisier—who are marooned outside, so it’s worth remembering their names. Pace It looks slow, and with the class—#2 IN GOOD SPIRITS (5-2)—being the only confirmed front runner, stalker/closers are in tough. Trends Check the turf condition, as they are carding just one turf race a day with the BC coming, so it’s tough to get a feel for the course. Best Bet IN GOOD SPIRITS Number 2 Morning Line (5-2) Best Bet Overview A solid…

Play of the Day Race Date October 23, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 8 Overview A N2L that has a lot of horses with the same middling kind of form, which makes it ripe for a newcomer and class dropper like #6 MARKET ANALYSIS (3-1). Pace Hopefully #1 Prioritizer can keep #9 Backshot honest, since the latter could get brave if he’s able to clear on the lead. Trends Tactical speed continues to be the way to go on the main track, especially routing, but in the sprints, if it’s hot and contested, off-the-pace types can still have success. Best Bet MARKET ANALYSIS Number 6 Morning Line (3-1) Best…

Play of the Day Race Date October 22, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 5 Overview A modest SAL field with no local standouts and a Cby invader #6 TEE EM EYE (3-1) that looks much the best. Pace It looks hot and contested, with several who want to be involved early, which only adds to the appeal of #6 TEE EM EYE (3-1), who has an ideal stalking gear. Trends Tactical speed continues to be the way to go on the main track, especially routing, but in the sprints, if it’s hot and contested, off-the-pace types can still have success. Best Bet TEE EM EYE Number 6 Morning Line…

Play of the Day Race Date October 21, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 1 Overview An average group of 15k MCL’ers with several throwouts, and several more who have had their share of chances, and a lightly raced runner in #4 NOT A NEEDY GAL (3-1) who is on the improve. Pace It looks moderate, which should only flatter #4 NOT A NEEDY GAL (3-1), who could control things up front. Trends Tactical speed continues to be the way to go on the main track, especially routing at this 1 1/16 miles, with the short finish line. Best Bet NOT A NEEDY GAL Number 4 Morning Line (3-1) Best…

Play of the Day Race Date October 18, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 5 Overview A decent looking N1X with no standouts, or horses with a lot of upside, yet #1 IN LOVE (8-1) has plenty of the latter, off a troubled US debut that came off a 10-month layoff. Pace There’s plenty here, as several want to be on or just off the lead, which should set things up for the stalker/closers late. Trends Keeneland hasn’t carded a lot of turf races, so it’s tough it’s tough to get much of a feel, though the course seems to be playing fair. Best Bet IN LOVE Number 1 Morning…

Play of the Day Race Date October 17, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 6 Overview A solid group of 50k starters that could have a potentially vulnerable favorite down inside in #1 Cool Bobby (2-1). Pace It looks HOT and contested, as there are several here who want to mix it up early, including the favorite #1 Cool Bobby, which should hopefully set it up for #7 SENOR JOBIM (10-1), who closed to be 2nd at the level last time and should like the extra furlong he gets. Trends Tactical speed continues to be the way to go on the main track, especially routing, but when there are several…