Handicapping

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  8/23/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 6      Race overview:  A modest NYB MSW for 2yos sprinting 7Fs on the main.       Pace:  It should be honest enough, as there are a few firsters, while the majority of the experienced runners are stretching out.      Trends:  The main, which has gotten plenty of use during the meet, continues to play fair, though early speed is always be preferred.       Best Play:  #8 B D SAINTS (7-2): Turf router had the worst trip of the year in his last, when he…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  8/20/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 6      Race overview:  A solid MSW for 2yo fillies routing 1 1/16 miles on the inner turf.       Pace:  There are several firsters and horses stretching out, while also facing a first turn for the first time, so things should be honest, if not on a bit hot, early on.      Trends:  We all know the nightmares of the turf over the course of the meet, so there’s not a ton to gleam over either turf courses.       Best Play:  #8 LAMORNA (7-2) (turf…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  8/19/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 9      Race overview:  A competitive, albeit below average, renewal of the historic G1 Alabama for 3yo fillies going 1 ¼ miles.       Pace:  There’s not much here, as #6 Chocolate Gelato (15-1) figures to go on the stretchout, which means #8 RANDOMIZED (9-2) should sit a dream 2-P stalking trip just to her outside.      Trends:  The main continues to play fair, though speed should always be preferred, especially sprinting.       Best Play:  #8 RANDOMIZED (9-2): Local winner aired over 1m and now…

Happy Alabama Day!  The Grade 1 Alabama Stakes has is a deep field that includes the top three finishers from the Coaching Club American Oaks. The Lake Placid has four Chad Brown entries, per usual.  Trivia Question:  Why is there a major historic stakes race at Saratoga called “The Alabama”?  Race 7 – Lake Placid Stakes – Grade II  One Mile and One Sixteenth on the Inner Turf for Fillies Three Years Old  Heavenly Sunday: Won the Edgewood Stakes two back at Churchill via a front running trip (86 Beyer) and then came back in the Tepin at Ellis six weeks ago where she set the pace but…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  8/18/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 5      Race overview:  An extremely deep and competitive N1X for 3up going 1 3/16 miles on the Mellon turf.       Pace:  There’s not much here, so expect a compact group and a sprint late, especially since this is a long trip and more than a few might be suspect over it.      Trends:  We all know the nightmares of the turf over the course of the meet, so there’s not a ton to gleam over either turf courses.       Best Play:  #6 CATCH THAT…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  8/17/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 4      Race overview:  A very modest 40k N2L for 3up going 6 ½ Fs on the main.        Pace:  There’s not much here, as 3 Camm’ Duke (10-1) should be controlling early, which puts #5 WESTERN GHENT (6-1) in a good spot, as he seems like the only one with the tactical speed to keep him close early and get first run.      Trends:  The main continues to play fair, though speed should always be preferred, especially sprinting.       Best Play:  #5 WESTERN GHENT…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  8/16/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 1      Race overview:  A seemingly modest NYB MSW for 2yofs routing 1 1/16 miles on the inner turf.       Pace:  It figures to be honest, as there are several first-time starters entered, along with more than a few stretch out sprinters.      Trends:  There’s nothing to lean on with the turf, as it’s had plenty of give to it throughout the meet, though the inner is usually kinder to speed types, with the tighter turns.        Best Play:  #6 ONCE AN EAGLE (turf only):…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  8/13/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Saratoga – Race 9      Race overview:  A solid, albeit unspectacular AOC for 3up going 7Fs on the main.       Pace:  It looks honest and competitive, as more than a few want to be involved early, which means a stalker could have a big say late.      Trends:  The main track has been on the fair side all meet, though as a general rule, you want to have tactical speed sprinting, as races rarely fall apart in the lane.       Best Play:  #8 CANDY TYCOON (4-1): Know…