11Nov

Play of the Day 11.12.22

November 11, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, Race of the Day
  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/12/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 8      Race overview:  A full field in the Claiming Crown sprint that is loaded with contenders—and early speed.       Pace:  As hinted at, it looks suicidal, as countless runners want to mix it up early and often.      Trends:  N/A – Note that this week we will finally have a full week of racing to measure the main track by, as it’s been too hit-or-miss so far, with the BC at Keeneland in the middle.       Best Play:  #2 THE WOFLMAN (6-1):…
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10Nov

Play of the Day 11.11.22

November 10, 2022By Handicapping, Race of the Day
  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/11/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 8      Race overview:  A stakes-caliber AOC for older going a mile on the main.       Pace:  There’s very little here, so tactical speed should be viewed as a premium.      Trends:  N/A – Note that this week we will finally have a full week of racing to measure the main track by, as it’s been too hit-or-miss so far, with the BC at Keeneland in the middle.       Best Play:  #3 MR. WIRELESS (4-1): Stalker ran well on the turf last time…
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04Nov

11.5.22 Breeders’ Cup Saturday

November 4, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, News, Race of the Day
Happy Breeders’ Cup Day! It’s Super Saturday at Keeneland with nine Breeders’ Cup races headlined by the Turf and Classic. Flightline looks to stamp himself as one of the best in this era in the Classic. In addition, Jackie’s Warrior tries to round out his career resume with a Breeders’ Cup win and the Distaff is packed with top shelf fillies and mares. Race 10 – Breeders’ Cup Turf– Grade I One Mile and One Half on the Turf for Three Year Olds and Upward The Bill Mott trained mare War Like Goddess headlines the American contingent against a group of European runners led by Charlie Appleby’s Nations…
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03Nov

11.4.22 Breeders’ Cup Friday

November 3, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, News, Race of the Day
Happy Future Stars Friday! Welcome to Future Stars Friday – we have five Breeders’ Cup race today featuring two year old fillies and colts. I’ll tackle the Juvenile and Juvenile Turf.   Race 9 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – Grade I One Mile and a Sixteenth on the Dirt for Two Year Olds Remember that this race finishes at the first finish line which tends to benefit horses on or near the lead while making it more difficult for closers since most of the late runners are trained to move in the stretch rather than on the turn. The Runners 1. Hurricane J: Stretches out to a route…
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29Sep

Play of the Day – September 30th, 2022

September 29, 2022By Race of the Day

Play of the Day Race Date September 30, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 2 Overview A decent 50k claimer for 3yos, though it looks like #5 BLUE KENTUCKY (5-1) has a distinctive class edge. Pace There’s not a ton here, so expect a bunched field and a sprint at the end, which means tactical speed is a bonus. Trends The main track really seemed to tilt towards stalker/closers over the weekend, which is worth keeping an eye on as they come back for another five-day race week. Best Bet BLUE KENTUCKY Number 5 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #5 BLUE KENTUCKY (5-1): Class dropper and turf-to-dirt runner…

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28Sep

Play of the Day – September 29th, 2022

September 28, 2022By Race of the Day

Play of the Day Race Date September 29, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 5 Overview A deeply competitive 25k claiming sprint, which could go any number of different ways. Pace It should be honest, as there are a few here who want to be involved early. Trends The main track really seemed to tilt towards stalker/closers over the weekend, which is worth keeping an eye on as they come back for another five-day race week. Best Bet MY MY MUNNY Number 6 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #6 MY MY MUNNY (5-1): Class dropper didn’t run poorly for 50k last time, so this group should be to…

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24Sep

Play of the Day – September 25th, 2022

September 24, 2022By Race of the Day

Play of the Day Race Date September 25, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 9 Overview A competitive AOC for 3up sprinting, with several different ways to go, though a lack of pace could tilt it to #2 SPANKSTER (9-2) Pace As mentioned, there’s not much here to keep #2 SPANKSTER (9-2) company up front, and Lukas won a pair Wednesday and the cutback off the mile last time should work too. Trends The main track, on a whole, seemed fair Opening Week, though four racing days are hardly a safe barometer. Best Bet SPANKSTR Number 2 Morning Line (9-2) Best Bet Overview #2 SPANKSTR (9-2): The inside speed…

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24Sep

Play of the Day – September 24th, 2022

September 24, 2022By Race of the Day

Play of the Day Race Date September 24, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 7 Overview A very strong overnight stakes for 3yo fillies going long, with several who bring winning credentials and enter off strong runs. Pace It seems honest enough, as there’s some speed to the inside and some presser/stalkers to the outside, who won’t let anyone get away early. Trends The main track, on a whole, seemed fair Opening Week, though four racing days are hardly a safe barometer. Best Bet SCRATCH KAT Number 6 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #6 SCRATCH KAT (5-1): Lightly raced and improving filly took a shot at the G1…

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22Sep

Play of the Day – September 23rd, 2022

September 22, 2022By Race of the Day

Play of the Day Race Date September 23, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 6 Overview A tough 32k claimer with several who come in with middling, class-dropping form, making it that much tougher to decipher. Pace There’s not a lot signed on here, so being close early seems like it will pay dividends late. Trends The main track, on a whole, seemed fair Opening Week, though four racing days are hardly a safe barometer. Best Bet AGRESSIVITY Number 4 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview #4 AGRESSIVITY (3-1): Stalker has been in good form while a bit under the radar at Haw and Elp, though note he has…

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