17Nov

Play of the Day Fri 11.18.22

November 17, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, News, Race of the Day
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/18/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 5      Race overview:  A weak 3up 20k claimer at 1 1/16 miles, with class-dropping #1 BALLINONABUDJET (5-2) seemingly holding all the aces.       Pace:  There’s very little entered on paper, so expect a bunched field throughout, with a sprint off the far turn.      Trends:  The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred.       Best Play:  #1 BALLINONABUDJET (5-2): Dropper has been facing tons better—while more than holding his own—drew…
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16Nov

Play of the Day Thurs 11.17.22

November 16, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, News, Race of the Day
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/17/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 6      Race overview:  A decent 32k claimer sprinting on the main, with a few class risers in off good runs, and a few dropping off suspect ones.       Pace:  There’s not a ton here, which means #1 ASH FLAT (5-1) should be able to control from inside early, especially since he’s facing much easier this time.      Trends:  The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred.       Best Play:  #1…
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15Nov

Play of the Day Wed 11.16.22

November 15, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, News, Race of the Day
    Date:  11/16/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 3      Race overview:  A decent group of local 25k claimers, but one that is vulnerable to a sharp newcomer, and GP invader #6 AIN’T WASTING TIME (4-1) fits the bill perfectly.       Pace:  There’s not a ton here, so having some tactical speed is key.      Trends:  The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred.       Best Play:  #6 AIN’T WASTING TIME (4-1): GP runners enters in strong form and looked good winning last time, drew perfectly, and…
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12Nov

Play of the Day 11.13.22

November 12, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, News, Race of the Day
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/13/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 2      Race overview:  A very strong group of 20k claimers sprinting, with several who enter in very sharp recent form.       Pace:  It looks very honest, which suggests winning this on the front might be a bit too tough.      Trends:  N/A – Note that this week we will finally have a full week of racing to measure the main track by, as it’s been too hit-or-miss so far, with the BC at Keeneland in the middle.       Best Play:  #8 AGGRESSIVITY (4-1):…
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11Nov

Play of the Day 11.12.22

November 11, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, Race of the Day
  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/12/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 8      Race overview:  A full field in the Claiming Crown sprint that is loaded with contenders—and early speed.       Pace:  As hinted at, it looks suicidal, as countless runners want to mix it up early and often.      Trends:  N/A – Note that this week we will finally have a full week of racing to measure the main track by, as it’s been too hit-or-miss so far, with the BC at Keeneland in the middle.       Best Play:  #2 THE WOFLMAN (6-1):…
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10Nov

Play of the Day 11.11.22

November 10, 2022By Handicapping, Race of the Day
  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  11/11/2022      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 8      Race overview:  A stakes-caliber AOC for older going a mile on the main.       Pace:  There’s very little here, so tactical speed should be viewed as a premium.      Trends:  N/A – Note that this week we will finally have a full week of racing to measure the main track by, as it’s been too hit-or-miss so far, with the BC at Keeneland in the middle.       Best Play:  #3 MR. WIRELESS (4-1): Stalker ran well on the turf last time…
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04Nov

11.5.22 Breeders’ Cup Saturday

November 4, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, News, Race of the Day
Happy Breeders’ Cup Day! It’s Super Saturday at Keeneland with nine Breeders’ Cup races headlined by the Turf and Classic. Flightline looks to stamp himself as one of the best in this era in the Classic. In addition, Jackie’s Warrior tries to round out his career resume with a Breeders’ Cup win and the Distaff is packed with top shelf fillies and mares. Race 10 – Breeders’ Cup Turf– Grade I One Mile and One Half on the Turf for Three Year Olds and Upward The Bill Mott trained mare War Like Goddess headlines the American contingent against a group of European runners led by Charlie Appleby’s Nations…
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03Nov

11.4.22 Breeders’ Cup Friday

November 3, 2022By Handicapping, Handicapping Articles, News, Race of the Day
Happy Future Stars Friday! Welcome to Future Stars Friday – we have five Breeders’ Cup race today featuring two year old fillies and colts. I’ll tackle the Juvenile and Juvenile Turf.   Race 9 – Breeders’ Cup Juvenile – Grade I One Mile and a Sixteenth on the Dirt for Two Year Olds Remember that this race finishes at the first finish line which tends to benefit horses on or near the lead while making it more difficult for closers since most of the late runners are trained to move in the stretch rather than on the turn. The Runners 1. Hurricane J: Stretches out to a route…
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29Sep

Play of the Day – September 30th, 2022

September 29, 2022By Race of the Day

Play of the Day Race Date September 30, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 2 Overview A decent 50k claimer for 3yos, though it looks like #5 BLUE KENTUCKY (5-1) has a distinctive class edge. Pace There’s not a ton here, so expect a bunched field and a sprint at the end, which means tactical speed is a bonus. Trends The main track really seemed to tilt towards stalker/closers over the weekend, which is worth keeping an eye on as they come back for another five-day race week. Best Bet BLUE KENTUCKY Number 5 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #5 BLUE KENTUCKY (5-1): Class dropper and turf-to-dirt runner…

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