Handicapping

Play of the Day Race Date June 08, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 9 Overview As good a 10k starter-allowance as you’ll ever see, with countless winning possibilities and a TBD favorite that could be as high as 4-1. Pace There looks to be plenty signed on here, as more than a few want to be involved early and often, so tactical speed will be at a premium. Trends The main track continues to play very fair, with winners coming from everywhere, and even tilted towards off the pace runners Saturday, as several rallied from midpack or further back. Best Bet MOBSTER GUN Number 4 Morning Line (9-2)…

Play of the Day Race Date June 05, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 3 Overview A tough turf sprint allowance for 3yos, with several who have winning credentials, though none seemingly have the upside of #7 SKY AND SAND (7-2). Pace It’s a turf sprint, so there’s no surprise it looks extremely hot and contested early, which means a stalking gear will come in handy. Trends They just don’t run enough turf races to get a true feel, though the outside paths seem to hold a tepid edge. Best Bet SKY AND SAND Number 7 Morning Line (7-2) Best Bet Overview #7 SKY AND SAND (7-2) (turf only):…

Play of the Day Race Date June 04, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 6 Overview An absolutely awesome AOC for 3yos with several that have proven stakes form, and countless up and comers as well. Pace It looks exceptionally hot and contested, as there are several here who want to motor early, not to mention a one-turn mile often leads to hot splits. Trends The main track was again on the fair side last week, as speed wasn’t overwhelming, and several winners came from a stalking and even closing position. Best Bet VOLCANIC Number 10 Morning Line (12-1) Best Bet Overview #10 VOLCANIC (12-1): Router was a fringe…

Play of the Day Race Date June 03, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 7 Overview A strong 3yo AOC with some serious talent, and a bevy of stakes droppers as well. Pace It looks potentially supersonic, as the comebacking #2 Gunite (2-1) was freaky-fast as a G1 winning 2yo, while #1 Surfer Dude (5-2) and #3 Conagher (3-1) both want to be involved early and often. Trends The main track was again on the fair side last week, as speed wasn’t overwhelming, and several winners came from a stalking and even closing position. Best Bet TEJANO TWIST Number 5 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #5 TEJANO TWIST…

Play of the Day Race Date June 02, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 1 Overview A competitive 16k claimer with several possibilities, but ax expected hot pace may knock out some of the favorites. Pace It looks hot and contested, which makes it unlikely that any of the speedsters survive, and that should work perfectly for #6 GIRLS A BULLET (4-1), who should be sitting off it and waiting to pounce. Trends The main track was again on the fair side last week, as speed wasn’t overwhelming, and several winners came from a stalking and even closing position. Best Bet GIRLS A BULLET Number 6 Morning Line (4-1)…

Play of the Day Race Date May 30, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 3 Overview A weak 10k N2L that doesn’t have much, as several enter off-form and toiling as lifetime 1’fers. Pace There’s really none here to keep #3 FIGHTVILLE (3-1) from making a loose and lonely lead, and when a lot of the stalker/closers aren’t much, that’s a great scenario. Trends The main track was on the fair side all of last week, as several winners came from a stalking and even closing position. Best Bet FIGHTVILLE Number 3 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview #3 FIGHTVILLE (3-1): Expected Lone F should be able to make…

Play of the Day Race Date May 29, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 4 Overview A solid 20k starter-allowance with some sharp form entered, and what looks like an hot pace too, that should set up #1 DON’T FORGET (7-2). Pace There’s a lot here, with #4 Samurai Prince (3-1) and #5 Divine Leader (8-5) right next to each other, which means something might have to give, and that would suit #1 DON’T FORGET (7-2). Trends The main track was on the fair side all of last week, as several winners came from a stalking and even closing position. Best Bet DON’T FORGET Number 1 Morning Line (7-2)…

Play of the Day Race Date May 28, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 11 Overview A ridiculously deep N2L for 3yo fillies, with several that have shown winning credentials, which means looking for a price is a must. Pace It looks hot and contested, especially down inside, as several want to motor early, which could set this up for a stalker/closer from off the pace in the lane. Trends The main track was on the fair side all of last week, as several winners came from a stalking and even closing position. Best Bet CODE FOR SUCCESS Number 10 Morning Line (12-1) Best Bet Overview #10 CODE FOR…

Play of the Day Race Date May 27, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 6 Overview A deep and competitive 10k starter-allowance that could go any number of different ways, which means looking for value seems imperative. Pace It looks honest, as several want to be involved early, so the ability to pass horses in the lane should help. Trends The main track was on the fair side all of last week, as several winners came from a stalking and even closing position. Best Bet EAGLE PASS Number 3 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #3 EAGLE PASS (5-1): Router cuts back off a slew of solid two-turn races,…

Play of the Day Race Date May 26, 2022 Track Churchill Downs Race 4 Overview A relatively deep N2L for 30k, though class dropper #5 BELLA CONCHITA (2-1) seems to be in a good spot to pick up her second career victory. Pace There doesn’t appear to be too much here, so tactical speed should be viewed as a good commodity. Trends They haven’t run too many turf races and/or enough to really get a true feel, but it does seem to play a bit to outside stalker/closers who are running down the crown of the course. Best Bet BELLA CONCHITA Number 5 Morning Line (2-1) Best Bet…