Handicapping

Play of the Day Race Date April 16, 2022 Track Keeneland Race 9 Overview A solid renewal of the G3 Lexington, with 20 Derby qualifying points on the line for the winner. Pace There’s very little on paper, and some of the favorites are deep closers—and it must be noted this 1 1/16-mile distance runs to the first finish line, which is a big disadvantage to those types. Trends It’s been tough to get a gauge on how the main track is playing, since a few of the cards have been run on off tracks to start and then converted to fast by the end of the day,…

Play of the Day Race Date April 15, 2022 Track Keeneland Race 3 Overview A deep and competitive 40k N2L with several different possibilities, though #1 TONAL IMPACT (4-1) gets a huge barn change off the claim to Matt Shirer. Pace It looks honest, if not on the fast side, as there are a few in here who want to be involved early. Trends It’s been tough to get a gauge on how the main track is playing, since a few of the cards have been run on off tracks to start and then converted to fast by the end of the day. Best Bet TONAL IMPACT Number…

Play of the Day Race Date April 14, 2022 Track Keeneland Race 6 Overview A strong N1X for 3yo fillies on turf, with several who have shown high talent, none more so than the comebacking #2 READY LADY (6-1). Pace It looks honest, if not on the fast side, as many in here want to be involved early and often. Trends N/A Best Bet READY LADY Number 2 Morning Line (6-1) Best Bet Overview #2 READY LADY (6-1) (turf only): Regally bred filly won on works last year, so you know she can fire fresh, and while she hasn’t been seen since a G1 disappointment in September, Attfield…

Play of the Day Race Date April 10, 2022 Track Keeneland Race 8 Overview A very good renewal of the G3 Beaumont with tons of talented fillies, but none have the upside of #4 GINA ROMANTICA (5-1). Pace There’s not a lot of 1s on paper, meaning there’s no real pure speed, but this also figures to be a bunched group, as several do have the tactical speed to be involved throughout. Trends N/A Best Bet GINA ROMANTICA Number 4 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #4 GINA ROMANTICA (5-1): Pricey Into Mischief filly was slow on the track but visually outstanding winning her debut at Tampa, which…

Play of the Day Race Date April 09, 2022 Track Keeneland Race 9 Overview A top-heavy renewal of the (newly minted) G1Blue Grass, as the favorites look to be the goods, and there are several longshots who are easy to toss. Pace There’s cheap speed down inside with #2 Fenwick (20-1), but regardless, #6 EMMANUEL (9-2) could be loose, or pressing that overmatched rival, which either way gets him first run on the favorites entering the far turn. Trends N/A Best Bet EMMANUEL Number 6 Morning Line (9-2) Best Bet Overview #6 EMMANUEL (9-2): GP invader was asked a lot in the G2 FOY, when he tried stakes…

Play of the Day Race Date April 08, 2022 Track Keeneland Race 4 Overview A strong AOC for 3yo fillies going two turns that has several different winning possibilities, though few have the upside of #9 SKRATCH KAT (4-1). Pace It looks like it should be very honest, as several entered want to be involved early, including the comebacking #10 Park On the Nile (7-2), who wired on debut and will have to go from this poor draw. Trends N/A Best Bet SKRATCH KAT Number 9 Morning Line (4-1) Best Bet Overview #9 SKRATCH KAT (4-1): Well-regarded filly has been bet hard in both starts and looked good…

Play of the Day Race Date April 03, 2022 Track Gulfstream Park Race 5 Overview A modest starter/optional-claimer on turf filled with Tapeta horses, and very few who have run well on turf. Pace There’s not a lot here, which should flatter #5 TETRAGRAMMATON (6-1): who wired last time and will be on or just off the early pace. Trends You want to be close on the turf, as horses coming from far back just don’t get there that often. Best Bet TETRAGRAMMATON Number 5 Morning Line (6-1) Best Bet Overview #5 TETRAGRAMMATON (6-1) (turf only): One of the few in here with good turf form, and she…

Play of the Day Race Date March 31, 2022 Track Gulfstream Park Race 6 Overview A strong starter-optional-claimer on the Tapeta with several horses that enter in-form and with winning credentials. Pace There’s very little here, save the cheap speed of #5 Eye On the Candy (5-1), which means #7 CASHIER CHECK (3-1), who might be the best horse anyway, should have a dream trip stalking just off the pace from the outside. Trends The Tapeta routes have played relatively fairly, though outside stalkers might have a slight edge. Best Bet CASHIER CHECK Number 7 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview #7 CASHIER CHECK (3-1): Tactical sort has…

Play of the Day Race Date March 27, 2022 Track Gulfstream Park Race 3 Overview A solid 35k claimer for 3yos with several different ways you can go. Pace It looks hot and contested, as several want to be involved early, which means the cutback for #7 PURE SPEIGHT (5-1) should put him in the right spot. Trends Horses aren’t coming from too far out of it on the Tapeta, especially sprinting, so you need to be close early. Best Bet PURE SPEIGHT Number 7 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #7 PURE SPEIGHT (5-1): Versatile sort wired on the Tapeta three-back but won’t make the front here,…