Handicapping

Play of the Day Race Date October 10, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 5 Overview A relatively modest 50k starter-allowance, as several in here don’t really stack up to what is normal for this type of race, which means a fresh new face may be able to take advantage. Pace It should be honest, as there are more than a few here that want to be involved early, a couple of which are breaking from the outside two posts. Trends N/A Best Bet OUTLIER Number 1 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview #1 OUTLIER (3-1): Stalker enters off a fast win against lesser and goes off the Shirer claim,…

Play of the Day Race Date October 09, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 10 Overview A solid renewal of the Keeneland Mile (G1), but a great betting race, with a likely tepid favorite and several different ways you can go. Pace It should be on the slow side, as there’s a longshot who will go (#8) that will go and then a few, including #13 SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN (9-2), who should be spying that early speed. Trends N/A Best Bet SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN Number 13 Morning Line (9-2) Best Bet Overview #13 SOMELIKEITHOTBROWN (9-2): Exits a HUGE run in the KD race, where he chased then dueled though suicidal fractions yet somehow still…

Play of the Day Race Date October 08, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 4 Overview A solid 25k claimer, though several are stuck in neutral and one might be ready to improve in a big way. Pace There’s not a lot here, which should give #9 BIG BELLA BROWN (9-2) the perfect outside pressing trip, or potentially shaking out as a Lone F, should no one else go early. Trends N/A Best Bet BIG BELLA BROWN Number 9 Morning Line (9-2) Best Bet Overview #9 BIG BELLA BROWN (9-2): Foley rarely makes a claim (2-for-8), so you know he liked what he saw here, and this is one of…

Play of the Day Race Date October 03, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 7 Overview A tough N1X with several different ways you can go, so looking for value seems imperative. Pace It should be honest, as there are several here who want to be involved early in some way, which means looking for someone who can pass horses seem the key. Trends The main track continues to fair through the first eight days of the meet. Best Bet SEASIDE RETREAT ( Number 5 Morning Line (7-2) Best Bet Overview #5 SEASIDE RETREAT (7-2): Phipps homebred has her only career win over the track, and it was at…

Play of the Day Race Date October 02, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 11 Overview A very competitive two-turn allowance with several different ways to go. Pace It should be honest, as there are several here who want to be involved early in some way. Trends The main track continues to fair through the first eight days of the meet. Best Bet CALIBREATE Number 9 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview #9 CALIBREATE (5-1): Stalker has been doing the turf thing of late but his last dirt run—which came over the track—was sharp, he has stalking gear in a race with some speed, and should be a decent…

Play of the Day Race Date October 01, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 2 Overview A relatively weak 16k claimer with a deserved favorite, but also with one who could improve for a potent new barn. Pace It looks on the slow side, with the favorites likely setting the splits. Trends The main track continues to fair through the first eight days of the meet. Best Bet THE QUEEN JULES Number 3 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview #3 THE QUEEN JULES (3-1): Toss the turf run last time and his form really comes into focus, and now he goes off the claim for Diodoro (25%), so you’re…

Play of the Day Race Date September 30, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 2 Overview A relatively weak MCL with a potential standout who drew perfectly as well. Pace It looks slow, which should play into the hands of #6 STEELY DANZA (5-2), who could shake out as the controlling speed. Trends The main track continues to fair through the first eight days of the meet. Best Bet STEELY DANZA Number 6 Morning Line (5-2) Best Bet Overview #6 STEELY DANZA (5-2): The best horse in the race drew the best post and has the best speed in a race void of any other real pace, so there…