Handicapping

Play of the Day Race Date September 26, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 3 Overview A very competitive 20k claimer with a number of different ways to go. Pace It should be honest, as several want to be involved early, though it doesn’t look overly heated either. Trends The main track played very fair through the first four days of racing. Best Bet COLD AS HELL Number 7 Morning Line (6-1) Best Bet Overview #7 COLD AS HELL (6-1): Pace presser also takes a stiff drop in class, and if you toss the turf race last time his form really comes into focus. Picks & Plays WPS bet…

Play of the Day Race Date September 25, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 5 Overview A very modest 2yo MCL with several uninspiring MSW droppers, and one who showed some signs of life on debut. Pace On paper there’s not much here, which should flatter #4 CHA (7-2), who chased and tired slightly on debut. Trends The main track played very fair through the first four days of racing. Best Bet CHA Number 4 Morning Line (7-2) Best Bet Overview #4 CHA (7-2): One of the many MSW droppers but one of the very few who ran well, this one on debut at WO over the Tapeta, where…

Play of the Day Race Date September 24, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 3 Overview A strong 10k starter-allowance that drew a very evenly matched field with several winning possibilities. Pace It looks hot and contested, which suggests it could fall apart in the lane. Trends The main track played very fair through the first four days of racing. Best Bet ALEX’S STRIKE Number 5 Morning Line (9-2) Best Bet Overview #5 ALEX’S STRIKE (9-2): Stalker/closer invades from Tdn for a 29% Ackerman barn, has the form on paper to handle this class rise, and should relish the pace up front. Picks & Plays WP bet and a…

Play of the Day Race Date September 23, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 2 Overview A seemingly evenly-matched 20k claimer. Pace It looks hot and contested, which means a tactical gear should come in very handy. Trends The main track played very fair through the first four days of racing. Best Bet CARBON STRYKER Number 3 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview #3 CARBON STRYKER (3-1): Stalker is one of just a few in here that can settle early, and with all the pace that is a big asset, and while he could bounce off the big figure at LaD last time, Broberg does a great job in…

Play of the Day Race Date September 19, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 7 Overview A solid starter-allowance, though several of the proven runners at the level seem vulnerable to an up-and-comer. Pace It looks modest, so tactical speed should be at a premium. Trends N/A Best Bet SAVING SOPHIE Number 8 Morning Line (4-1) Best Bet Overview #8 SAVING SOPHIE (4-1): Class riser has been in good form and goes off the Shirer claim, which is a strong 23% move, and she’s already fast enough to win a race like this. Picks & Plays WPS bet and a must-use to end the middle Pk4, and in the…

Play of the Day Race Date September 17, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 3 Overview A solid N1X with a few proven runners, and a potential up-and-comer with a world of upside. Pace It looks honest, as several have shown a penchant of getting involved early and often. Trends N/A Best Bet FROST POINT Number 2 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview #2 FROST POINT (3-1): Godolphin blueblood looked good winning for fun in slow time at Tampa in December and hasn’t been seen since, but she returns with Lasix, is bred to be a star, and with some added maturity gives the look of a real comer.…

Play of the Day Race Date September 16, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 7 Overview A competitive AOC going two turns, which is key since several in here have been doing the one-turn thing of late. Pace It figures on the slow side, especially going 1 1/8 miles, which means tactical speed is at a big advantage. Trends N/A Best Bet ITS COLD IN DEHERE Number 8 Morning Line (9-2) Best Bet Overview #8 ITS COLD IN DEHERE (9-2): Outside presser got to two turns over the track in June and aired, will be up close throughout, and comes in fresh against a group there for the taking.…

Play of the Day Race Date September 06, 2021 Track Saratoga Race 4 Overview A good 20k open claimer for the veterans, several of which enter in strong recent form. Pace It should be honest, as several in here want to be involved throughout. Trends You better be close on this main track, or at least have tactical speed, as horses just aren’t coming from far behind to win. Best Bet FRILLS Number 6 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview #6 FRILLS (3-1): Pace player drew perfectly to be outside the other early speed, goes off the claim for Kantarmaci (21%), who has been firing all meet long,…

Play of the Day Race Date September 05, 2021 Track Saratoga Race 6 Overview A deep and competitive 40k N2L with several class droppers who could wake up. Pace It looks a bit on the moderate side, so tactical speed figures to be at a premium. Trends We’ve gotten so much rain of late that it’s tough to get a feel, but as the course dries being closer to the front is never a bad thing. Best Bet ACTUARY Number 5 Morning Line (8-1) Best Bet Overview #5 ACTUARY (8-1) (turf only): Stiff class dropper has been facing tons better in two US starts, so this drop is…