Handicapping

Play of the Day Race Date October 31, 2021 Track Churchill Downs Race 6 Overview A wide, wide open two-turn MSW with several different possibilities, and a race ripe for an upset, as the perceived favorites seem slow on paper. Pace There’s not a lot on paper but with several stretching out from sprints it figures to develop in some form. Trends N/A Best Bet DUNVEGAN DOLL Number 6 Morning Line (10-1) Best Bet Overview #6 DUNVEGAN DOLL (10-1): Ran sneaky-good sprinting on debut when DOB at 36-1, which suggests this was the plan all along, for a patient McPeek barn that is loaded with 2yos this year.…

Play of the Day Race Date October 30, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 9 Overview A real head-scratcher of a N2L for 2yos on turf, with several looking the same—and a bit uninspiring—on paper, and one in #9 NORTH COUNTY (12-1), who looked awesome winning on debut against lesser at Indiana Grand. Pace It should be a relatively tight group early, as there doesn’t appear to be a ton of pace in here, so, like most turf races, expect a bunched sprint in the lane. Trends The turf has been a little on the speedy side, though they are running only a few a day on it, and it…

Play of the Day Race Date October 29, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 9 Overview An absolutely sterling renewal of the G3 Valley View, with countless win possibilities, which means looking for value is imperative. Pace Thee’s not a lot here, and with an aggressive ride there’s a chance #11 LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE (10-1) gets loose, and therefore, potentially brave. Trends The turf has been a little on the speedy side, though they are running only a few a day on it, and it looked pretty beat up Wednesday, so take note of the course condition as well. Best Bet LADY SPEIGHTSPEARE Number 11 Morning Line (10-1) Best Bet Overview…

Play of the Day Race Date October 28, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 2 Overview A tough 20k open claimer with a slew of veterans with solid, winning form, though there looks to be a newcomer with some upside. Pace It should be honest, as several here want to be involved early, which could set it up for #5 BOBBY BABY, who has shown a penchant for passing horses in the lane. Trends The main track has played fair throughout the meet, though tactical speed, especially going to the short finish line, is never a bad thing. Best Bet BOBBY BABY Number 5 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview…

Play of the Day Race Date October 27, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 6 Overview A solid N2L with a quartet of hard hitters, which should make this is a good betting race as well. Pace It should be honest but not overly fast either, which might make #5 and #6, who will bet hard, a bit vulnerable. Trends The main track has played fair throughout the meet, though tactical speed, especially going to the short finish line, is never a bad thing. Best Bet SPITEFUL SAM Number 2 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview #2 SPITEFUL SAM (3-1): Tactical sort has that edge on the aforementioned #5 and…

Play of the Day Race Date October 24, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 4 Overview A solid 30k claimer with a strong but vulnerable favorite in #2 Nic and Zoe (6-5), who hasn’t been out since January and has never run on the main track either. Pace The favorite should be in front but #4 WELL SPENT (7-2) won’t be far off from the outside. Trends The main track has played fair throughout the meet, though tactical speed, especially going to the short finish line, is never a bad thing. Best Bet WELL SPENT Number 4 Morning Line (7-2) Best Bet Overview #4 WELL SPENT (7-2): Aforementioned pace presser…

Play of the Day Race Date October 23, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 4 Overview A modest AOC with few with upside, and several with several with recent sketchy form, and one with plenty of the former, who comes in off a much-improved effort. Pace There’s not much here, aside from #4 Enchanted Nile (6-1), so you should want some tactical speed in your corner, as the closers will be at a disadvantage, especially with the short finish line too. Trends The main track has played fair throughout the meet, though tactical speed, especially going to the short finish line, is never a bad thing. Best Bet EMILIA’S MOON…

Play of the Day Race Date October 22, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 4 Overview A deep and competitive renewal of the G3 Sycamore, with several looking the same on paper, many of which offer a ton of value. Pace It’s non-existent, as just #12 Two Emmys (3-1) wants to be in front, which means #4 RY’S THE GUY (8-1) should trip out perfectly just off him. Trends They haven’t been running very many turf races, so it’s tough to get a gauge, especially since it’s been less than firm all meet long. Best Bet RY’S THE GUY Number 4 Morning Line (8-1) Best Bet Overview #4 RY’S THE…

Play of the Day Race Date October 21, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 4 Overview A very contentious N1X turf sprint with several that have winning chances. Pace It looks supersonic, as several in here want to go early and often, so playing the stalker/closers seems the way to go. Trends They haven’t been running very many turf races, so it’s tough to get a gauge, especially since it’s been less than firm all meet long. Best Bet MUSED Number 5 Morning Line (9-2) Best Bet Overview #5 MUSED (9-2) (turf only): Stalker has the running style to make a late dent behind the speed, has solid US form,…

Play of the Day Race Date October 17, 2021 Track Keeneland Race 8 Overview A wide open turf sprint where almost everyone in the field has a chance, and the longshots aren’t far behind the favorites on paper. Pace It should be honest, as several in here want to be involved, and with a course that will have some give to it, looking towards a stalker/closer might be the way to go. Trends They haven’t been running very many turf races, so it’s tough to get a gauge, especially since it’s been less than firm all meet long. Best Bet LADY EDITH Number 5 Morning Line (12-1) Best…