Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Fri 6.2.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  6/2/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 4      Race overview:  A vert weak 20k N2L for 3&up going a mile on the main, with very few who have winning credentials.        Pace:  There’s not much here, which really flatters #7 UNCLE BERLEY (3-1), who drew perfectly and is fast enough to lead or sit just off.      Trends:  The main track played a bit more on the fair side last week, as winners were coming from everywhere, though tactical speed (at the very least) is always preferred.        Best Play: …

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Nadeau: Chuchill Play of the Day Thurs 6.1.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  6/01/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 7      Race overview:  A stakes-caliber AOC sprinting on the main, with several who start with winning credentials.       Pace:  There’s no confirmed front runners enters, so expect a bunched group, which gives those with tactical speed a big edge.      Trends:  The main track played a bit more on the fair side last week, as winners were coming from everywhere, though tactical speed (at the very least) is always preferred.        Best Play:  #2 BAGBOSS (3-1): Lightly-raced runner had a bit of a…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Mon 5.29.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  5/29/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 9      Race overview:  A deep and competitive MSW routing on the turf.       Pace:  It’s a full field, so things should be honest up front, though there doesn’t appear to be any burners in here either.      Trends:  The turf has been used quite sparingly, so it’s tough to see any concrete trends.       Best Play:  #9 SRI LANKA (4-1) (turf only): Munnings filly returns fresh for a Walsh barn that is white-hot, and all she needs is clear sailing after a nightmare…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sun 5.28.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  5/28/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 2      Race overview:  A deep and competitive 50k N2L routing on the main track.       Pace:  It looks very honest on paper, as there are a few with route speed, along with a stretchout sprinter (#6 Dog Red).      Trends:  With the exception of Saturday’s drying out track (which typically always play to off-the-pace types), the main track was playing to speed throughout the week.       Best Play:  #5 CONSTITUTIONAL LAW (5-2): Class dropper has been facing better, has a stalking gear that…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sat 5.27.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  5/27/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 3      Race overview:  A weak restricted MSW (50k or less/or RNA) going 5Fs on the main.       Pace:  There’s a slew of first-time starters here, so expect things to be quick up front.      Trends:  With the exception of Saturday’s drying out track (which typically always play to off-the-pace types), the main track was playing to speed throughout the week.       Best Play:  #3 LIAM’S MESSAGE (3-1): Experienced runner improved a lot in her second start, and had a trip, and there’s just…

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Nadeau: Play of the Day Fri 5.26.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  5/26/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 9      Race overview:  A solid 30k claimer routing at 1 1/16 miles on the main.       Pace:  This almost looks like a turf race on paper, as there’s very little speed, so expect them to go slow early and sprint off the far turn.      Trends:  With the exception of Saturday’s drying out track (which typically always play to off-the-pace types), the main track was playing to speed throughout the week.       Best Play:  #3 COASTAL DEFENSE (2-1): Class dropper goes for a…

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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Thurs 5.25.23

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  5/25/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Churchill Downs – Race 3      Race overview:  A modest 30k N2L routing on the main, with a field-of-6 that looks much the same on paper.       Pace:  There’s not much here, which means sitting close looks imperative.      Trends:  With the exception of Saturday’s drying out track (which typically always play to off-the-pace types), the main track was playing to speed throughout the week.       Best Play:  #3 WINDY BAY (7-2): Pace player should be on or just off the early lead, was just a solid 4th…

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