Handicapping Articles

  Tuesday, April 25    RACE 8   BEST PLAY  #4 Magnificent Chrome drops into a soft spot after sparring with open 10k claimers in New York.  Looks to conclude the card with a victory due to significant class edge.   RACE PACE  Has enough tactical speed to be with the early pacesetters. May even get lead vs slower group.  TRENDS  N/A   ANGLES  Has never been in this cheap and has good early for this distance, which makes him a big win threat.  Single in late pick-4 start that starts in the 5th race and looks like to solid win-place wager.    

  Monday, April 24    RACE 7   BEST PLAY  #6 Lady’s Golden Guy is the key to the Opening Day feature race.   He looks to make it 4 in a row going back to last year. (5-2 ml)  RACE PACE  Almendro is quick but Lady’s Golden Guy can stay close with early.  TRENDS  N/A   ANGLES  Has bullet work and defeated similar field when last seen in November.  Single in Pick-5, Late Double 6 over to 1-2-6.       FGL MEET:  

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/22/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 3      Race overview:  An uninspiring 30k MCL going 7Fs on the main, with very few entering with proven, trustworthy form.       Pace:  It looks on the slow side, as there’s not much sprint speed entered, and there are also some confirmed closers as well, so you better be able to lay close early.      Trends:  The main track has tilted towards speed (which is nothing unusual), though there has been no obvious biases in terms of running styles or paths, while the turf has been…

Date: 4/21/2023 Featured Track/Race: Keeneland – Race 4   Race overview: An uninspiring MSW routing on the main for f/ms, with a 2-1 ML favorite (#1), who hasn’t been seen since 3/13/22.   Pace: Expect things to be moderate up front, as there’s not a lot of real speed signed on, in a race where a lot of these are suspect at the distance as well. Trends: The main track has tilted towards speed (which is nothing unusual), though there has been no obvious biases in terms of running styles or paths, while the turf has been on fair side.   Best Play: #4 MAGIC PALACE (9-2): Tactical…

Date:  4/20/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 5      Race overview:  A seemingly below average N1X sprinting on turf, with very little trusted, proven form to go on.       Pace:  It’s a turf sprint, so there will be plenty of it, so look for someone with a rating gear that can pick the speed off in the stretch.      Trends:  The main track has tilted towards speed (which is nothing unusual), though there has been no obvious biases in terms of running styles or paths, while the turf has been on fair side.       Best Play:  #9 PEACH COBBLER (7-2): (turf only):…

    Date:  4/16/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 2      Race overview:  A marathon N1X for f/ms going 1 ½ miles on the turf, with an average group of Americans against Euro invader #5 KISS YOU LATER (9-5), who has G3 form.       Pace:  Expect a crawl early and a sprint late, which should only flatter #5 KISS YOU LATER (9-5).      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #5 KISS YOU LATER (9-5) (turf only): Newcomer flashed G3 form in Europe and is now with Clement, who is 27% off this elongated +180-day layoff, she gets Lasix, her trip (1 ½ miles),…

  “PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/15/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 8      Race overview:  A deep and competitive renewal of the Giant’s Causeway for fillies & mares sprinting 5 1/2Fs on the turf.       Pace:  It’s a turf sprint, so expect some heat up front, as several in here want to motor early, which means the stalkers/closers should have a big chance in the lane.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #11 LITTLE JEWEL (8-1) (turf only): BC Turf winner Little Mike’s little sis is all sprint, and was awesome winning her last two…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/14/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 5      Race overview:  A strong N1X routing on the turf for 3yo fillies, with several different ways to go.       Pace:  It doesn’t look overly fast, but also there’s no one in here who looks loose on the lead either, so expect a bunched group early and a sprint off the far turn.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #1 MRS. ASTOR (6-1) (turf only): Impressive GP filly won against the grain of the turf, as rallying from off the pace isn’t ideal, but…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/13/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 8      Race overview:  A typically strong N2X routing on the grass, with several who can win, but none with the upside of #7 STRONG QUALITY (9-2), who looked awesome winning his turf bow in February at Gulfstream.       Pace:  There’s very little here on paper, so being able to lay close is preferred, and it wouldn’t be surprised if #7 STRONG QUALITY (9-2) finds himself walking on the lead, as he’s as fast as anyone here.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #7 STRONG…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  4/12/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Keeneland – Race 1      Race overview:  A mixed bag 25k claimer sprinting 7Fs on the main, with several who come in off Tapeta form at TP while showing very little dirt form, which is not the case with #3 EDGEE ANGEL (2-1), who was 2nd in her only start at Kee.       Pace:  It doesn’t look too hot at all, as most of these want to stalk or come from behind, so being able to lay close early seems imperative.      Trends:  N/A       Best Play:  #3…