Handicapping Articles

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/12/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 2      Race overview:  A weak 12.5k MCL routing on the Tapeta, with several stuck in neutral, and an MSW dropper in #2 SHAKE YOUR BONES (5-2) with plenty of upside.       Pace:  It should be honest, as more than a few have been involved early of late, while there are a couple stretching out as well.      Trends:  Stalker/closers have an edge routing on Tapeta, as speed doesn’t hold as well—no matter how slow they go early.       Best Play:  #2 SHAKE YOUR…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/11/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 10       Race overview:  A very strong AOC sprinting on the main with several talented in-from runners and a few more returning off long layoffs.       Pace:  It looks hot and contested, as several want to be involved early and often, which tactical speed will come in handy.      Trends:  You want to be close sprinting on the main, as horses just don’t make up significant ground unless a total meltdown ensues.       Best Play:  #3 STARSHIP RENEGADE (3-1): Versatile sort backed up the…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/10/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 3      Race overview:  A relatively modest 20k N2L sprinting on the main, with a few who have the for to win, but the class dropper #6 ONE AMERICA (3-1) who looks the controlling speed.       Pace:  There’s a ton here, which means #6 ONE AMERICA (3-1) should be able to control thing on the front end.      Trends:  You want to be close sprinting on the main, as horses just don’t make up significant ground unless a total meltdown ensues.       Best Play: …

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/9/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 1      Race overview:  A competitive 16k claimer routing on the turf, with class-dropping #4 SANDPIPER MEMORIES (7-2) looming very large.       Pace:  There’s enough here, as more than a few want to be close early, which means a stalking gear should play well.      Trends:  You want to be close on the turf, as horses aren’t going to make up a ton of ground if they can’t get into position early.       Best Play:  #4 SANDPIPER MEMORIES (7-2) (turf only): Stiff class dropper…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/8/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 4      Race overview:  A low-level N2L sprinting 7Fs on the main, with little trust, though the class-dropping #2 MOPED DENNIS (7-2) seems to have found a good spot.       Pace:  There’s a ton here, which means #2 MOPED DENNIS (7-2) should be prominent throughout, which is never a bad thing when you’re facing a group like this.      Trends:  You want to be close sprinting on the main, as horses just don’t make up significant ground unless a total meltdown ensues.       Best…

Happy Fountain of Youth Day!  We have entered the “Championship Series” portion of Derby preps as the Derby points are 50-20-15-10-5. A win in today’s preps will earn the winner enough points to make the Derby field.  Aqueduct Race 9  – The Gotham – Grade III  One Mile on the Dirt for Three Year Olds   The Gotham occupies an interesting spot on the Derby calendar. New York has already run two nine furlong Derby preps (Remsen and Withers), but today we turn back to the flat mile.  There is a ton of early pace signed up here – but there are no obvious closers.  It’s definitely a spread…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/4/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 12      Race overview:  An extremely strong renewal of the G2 Davona Dale, which stretches out the 3yo fillies to a one-turn mile.       Pace:  Oddly enough, for a 12-horse field full of talent and several who stretch out, there’s not a ton of sprint speed, which means you better be close early because it won’t be easy to pass late.      Trends:  You want to be close on the main regardless of the trip, but if a pace develops, you can close at this…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/2/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 4      Race overview:  A tricky 7F low-level claimer sprinting on the main, with a lot of speed and trustworthy runners       Pace:  There’s a ton here, and none of it seems a cinch to last, as several come in off extremely poor runs.      Trends:  You want to be close sprinting on the main, though at 7Fs things can fall apart a bit if it gets too hot early.       Best Play:  #3 PURE SPEIGHT (5-1): Class dropper was facing 12.5ks on the…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  3/1/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 4      Race overview:  A solid enough 40k MOC sprinting on the Tapeta, but it’s the class dropper #5 ALLEN DIGGS (5-2) that seems to hold all the aces for the white-hot connections of Irad and Tharrenos.       Pace:  It’s a Tapeta sprint, so there will be some heat, though #5 ALLEN DIGGS (5-2) seems to have the most, which is never a bad thing at this trip.      Trends:  As hinted at, speed plays sprinting on the Tapeta, as no matter how fast they…

“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau                        Date:  2/26/2023      Featured Track/Race:   Gulfstream Park – Race 9      Race overview:  A solid AOC routing on the turf for f/ms, with a lot of quality, none more so than #10 DIAMOND HANDS (7-2).       Pace:  There’s enough here, as #7 Regal Realm (8-1) should be going, and #10 DIAMOND HANDS (7-2) will be going (in some form) from the outside draw as well.      Trends:  Tactical speed—at the very least—is preferred on the turf, as horses just don’t come from too far back to win.       Best Play:  #10 DIAMOND HANDS…