October 10, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date October 10, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 4 Overview A good field for the level, but #7 FEVOLA (7-2) goes off the claim for Gargan, a huge 48% move, and has a ton of upside off just four lifetime starts. Pace It looks slow, which should play into the hands of #7 FEVOLA (7-2), as she has plenty of tactical speed and a perfect outside attack post. Trends It’s still early in the meet, but speed has done well, especially at 1 1/16-mile routes with the short finish line. Last Saturday speed was king, so pay attention early, as the track could be…

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October 08, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date October 08, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 7 Overview A very weak group for the level, with the exception of #1 ELIADE (2-1), who is proven in graded stakes and drew perfectly. Pace It looks very slow, with only #9 Romantic Pursuit (3-1) used to showing any aggressiveness early. Trends It’s still early in the meet, but the turf course has seemingly played fair and doesn’t seem to be favoring any running styles. Best Bet ELIADE Number 1 Morning Line (2-1) Best Bet Overview A very weak group for the level, with the exception of #1 ELIADE (2-1), who is proven in graded…

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October 07, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date October 07, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 7 Overview A good group of lightly raced 2yo fillies, several who come off sharp debut wins that look to step up and earn a berth into the BC Juvenile Fillies Turf. Pace It looks like #7 AUNT PEARL (3-1) should be able to control things early, especially with Geroux riding, as he’s one of the most aggressive gate riders in the country. Trends Speed has done very well on the main track, so you need to be close early. The turf is a bit more of a mixed bag, but positional speed, especially over a…

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October 04, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date October 04, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 7 Overview A very average looking group of 2yos that haven’t distinguished themselves, except the #1 MUNQAD (7-2), who was a fast-figure 4th while dueling and tiring on debut and should love the added ground/turn he gets to work with—from the perfect post too. Pace With the inside draw, off a debut in which he dueled though 46 1/5, I would think #1 MUNQAD (7-2) will be the controlling speed, especially from this post. Trends No trends so to speak, with the meet just getting underway, but as a general rule, speed always plays well going…

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October 03, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date October 03, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 3 Overview An unproven group of 2yos that have flashed potential, none more so than #5 TATE (7-2), who was awesome winning on debut at Del Park and is bred to be a nice one. Pace It figures to be honest, especially with several of these lightly raced 2yos trying two turns for the first time. Trends No trends so to speak, with the meet just getting underway, but as a general rule, you do not want to be too far outside in the 1-mile dirt races here. Best Bet TATE Number 5 Morning Line (7-2)…

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October 02, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date October 02, 2020 Track Keeneland Race 7 Overview A modest group with a potentially vulnerable favorite (#8) who enters off a fluky big figure at KD, and a horse in #2 QUIET DIGNITY (5-1) who appears to have a big race flow edge. Pace It looks quite slow, which should allow #2 QUIET DIGNITY (5-1) to be on or just off the pace, which will give her a tactical advantage over her main rival. Trends N/A Best Bet QUIET DIGNITY Number 2 Morning Line (5-1) Best Bet Overview A modest group with a potentially vulnerable favorite (#8) who enters off a fluky…

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September 01, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date September 01, 2020 Track Pimlico Race Course Race 6 Overview A good field of turf sprinters in a stakes on the cusp of being graded, with several who could be longshot possibilities in the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint with a good run. Pace It looks modest, at best, which should give a huge tactical edge to #10 FRANCATELLI (3-1), who is also perfectly drawn outside. Trends N/A Best Bet FRANCATELLI Number 10 Morning Line (3-1) Best Bet Overview A good field of turf sprinters in a stakes on the cusp of being graded, with several who could be longshot possibilities in the…

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September 30, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date September 30, 2020 Track Delaware Park Race 8 Overview A deep group for the level (25k MCL’s), with #6 GAMING JACK (8-1) getting off a dead rail to a much preferred outside attack post, and taking the biggest drop in racing, out of the MSW ranks. Pace It looks modest, at best, though all main contenders should be close enough throughout. Trends Del Park has moved alongside Parx as a track where everyone tries to avoid the inside, so move up anyone that gets stuck inside, while downgrading anyone that swoops wide. Best Bet GAMING JACK Number 6 Morning Line (8-1) Best…

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September 27, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date September 27, 2020 Track Churchill Downs Race 10 Overview A solid AOC for this time of year at GP, and a very competitive race on paper, though the race flow may say otherwise. And one of the few races in the mandatory payout Rainbow 6 where you can have a strong lean. Pace The adage “pace makes the race” comes to mind, as most of these all want to go early, which means #6 FROSTED GRACE (2-1) looks like a standout based on his stalking style. Trends N/A Best Bet #6 FROSTED GRACE Number 6 Morning Line (2-1) Best Bet Overview A…

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September 26, 2020

Play of the Day Race Date September 26, 2020 Track Santa Anita Race 6 Overview A solid group with several ways to go, but #4 EXPRESS TRAIN (5-2) is lightly raced and full of potential, and hinted at big things in his comeback sprint win. Pace It should be honest, though not overly fast, so watch how the track is playing early, as #8 Dr. Troutman could get brave if it’s speedy. Trends N/A Best Bet EXPRESS TRAIN Number 4 Morning Line (5-2) Best Bet Overview A solid group with several ways to go, but #4 EXPRESS TRAIN (5-2) is lightly raced and full of potential, and hinted…

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