Nadeau: Chuchill Play of the Day Thurs 6.1.23
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
Date: | 6/01/2023 |
Featured Track/Race: | Churchill Downs – Race 7 |
Race overview: | A stakes-caliber AOC sprinting on the main, with several who start with winning credentials. |
Pace: | There’s no confirmed front runners enters, so expect a bunched group, which gives those with tactical speed a big edge. |
Trends: | The main track played a bit more on the fair side last week, as winners were coming from everywhere, though tactical speed (at the very least) is always preferred. |
Best Play: | #2 BAGBOSS (3-1): Lightly-raced runner had a bit of a trip in his return last time when in a restricted stakes behind a CD legend, should be much tighter second-off the long layoff, and goes for a Walsh barn that can do no wrong in Louisville. |
Bet Types: | Aggressive WP bet and single in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well. |
Meet/POD Stats: | CD Meet: 168-28-29-21 ($1.52/$4.56 ROI through 5/29)
CD POD: 16-2-5-2 ($1.33/$4.75 ROI through 5/29)
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