Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day / Sunday 11.27.22
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
Date: | 11/27/2022 |
Featured Track/Race: | Churchill Downs – Race 5 |
Race overview: | A full field of 30k N2L sprinters, with several who are in with winning chances, though #8 SONO GRATO (8-1) offers plenty of value off a troubled trip. |
Pace: | It should be hot and contested, as several here want to motor early, which means a stalking gear seems imperative. |
Trends: | Winners are continuing to come from everywhere, with no noticeable biases, both in terms of path and running style. |
Best Play: | #8 SONO GRATO (8-1): Stalker will like the pace and ran well at the level last time, with far from a fair go of it after a slow start and extremely wide bid on the far turn. |
Bet Types: | WPS bet and a must-use to end the early Pk5/Pk4, and to kick off the middle Pk5 as well. |
Meet/POD Stats: | CD Meet: 136-35-26-22 ($1.82/$5.37 ROI through 11/20)
CD POD: 12-4-2-0 ($1.87/$4.81 ROI through 11/20)
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