Nadeau: Ellis Play of the Day Thurs 6.29.23
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
Date: | 6/29/2023 |
Featured Track/Race: | Ellis Park – Race 8 |
Race overview: | A deep and competitive AOC at 1 1/8 miles on the main for f/ms. |
Pace: | I’m expecting #4 MAGIC BUBBLES (6-1) to control things early, as she had a disadvantageous outside post last time and got caught dueling with #5 She’s Lookin Lucky (3-1) last time, but drew much better here, and after frying the latter, you’d think that miss won’t want to get caught up with her again early here. |
Trends: | It’s now painfully obvious that there is as intense an inside rail bias on the main track that has been seen in quite some time, as countless winners have wired on the rail, many of which have been implausible, or certainly down the pecking order of contenders. |
Best Play: | #4 MAGIC BUBBLES (6-1): With the main track playing as an inside paved highway, and this miss stretching back out and expected to be the (inside) speed, let’s see if she can get brave after running 2nd to a potential superstar last time at a one-turn mile. |
Bet Types: | Aggressive WP bet and single in the late Pk5/Pk4 as well. |
Meet/POD Stats: | ElP POD: 8-4-1-1 ($3.35/$7.89)
|