Applebee: Closer Look – Ky Derby/Turf Classic @CD 5.4.24
Happy Derby Day! With the Baffert trainees ineligible to run, the Derby would appear to be a two horse race between Sierra Leone and Fierceness. However, in a twenty horse field plenty of things can go awry. The Turf Classic features a Euro vs. American match-up with a Charlie Appleby trainee taking on an uncoupled Chad Brown entry with a strong Shug runner. Race 11 The Turf Classic – Grade I One Mile and One Furlong on the Turf for Four Year Olds and Upward Integration: In the Makers Mark Mile he couldn’t run down Master of the Seas as he was wide on the far turn…
Select Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sat 5.4.24
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau Date 5/4/24 Featured track Churchill Downs Race number 10 Race overview A wildly deep and contentious renewal of the G1 Churchill Downs for 4up going 7Fs on the main track. Pace For a 7F G1 sprint there’s not a ton of it on paper, but there’s also a full field, so the pace should develop, though coming from the back and winning might be a big ask, and there are more than a few of those types here. Trends It was just a few days early in the…
Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Fri 5.3.24
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau Date 5/3/24 Featured track Churchill Downs Race number 11 Race overview A deep and contentious renewal of the G1 Kentucky Oaks for 3yo fillies going 1 1/8 miles on the main track. Pace It looks potentially hot and contested, and at tis demanding trip, with a long stretch, this will likely stretch the rubber band of several of these mighty thin, and play more towards a stalker with stamina. Trends It was just a few days early in the week, but the main track played fair, which is…
Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Thurs 5.2.24
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau Date 5/2/24 Featured track Churchill Downs Race number 5 Race overview An extremely weak MSW for 3up going 1 1/16 miles on the turf. Pace There’s not much on paper, though it is a big field, but regardless, #4 ROCKY JOY (4-1) figures to be on or just off the early lead in his first two-turn start after dueling sprinting last time. Trends N/A Best Play #4 ROCKY JOY (4-1) (turf only): Son of Kitten’s Joy is bred to love the lawn and two turns, and…
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Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Wed 5.1.24
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau Date 5/1/24 Featured track Churchill Downs Race number 7 Race overview A predictably competitive N1X for 3upfms going a tricky 7 ½ Fs on the main track. Pace It looks honest, though the sprint speed of comebacking #1 MIGHTY MADISON (7-2) says she’ll be able to clear off early. Trends N/A Best Play #1 MIGHTY MADISON (7-2): Speedster returns off a November layoff for Bauer, who has been quiet this year but has undoubtedly been gearing up for CD, and this filly looks poised for a…
Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Tues 4.30.24
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau Date 4/30/24 Featured track Churchill Downs Race number 2 Race overview A contentious 32k claimer for 4upfms going 1 1/16 miles on the main track. Pace There’s none here to keep #2 Jump Into the Fire (2-1) from making the front early and setting her own tempo. Trends N/A Best Play #2 JUMP INTO THE FIRE (2-1): Expected loose speed caught slop in her comeback at Laurel in a race that should have her set up perfectly for this, especially since she’s 6-2-3-0 over the CD…
Nadeau: Churchill Play of the Day Sat 4.27.24
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau Date 4/27/24 Featured track Churchill Downs Race number 3 Race overview A solid 30k starter-allowance for 3upfms going 6Fs on the main. Pace It looks honest enough, as there are more than a few who want to be involved early in some way. Trends N/A Best Play #2 LITTLE BLAZE (3-1): Tactical miss got to a fast main track last time and blitzed the field in an effort that’s simply better than the rest of these can offer, so if the weather holds and it’s…