Play of the Day Sunday 11.20.22
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
Date: | 11/20/2022 |
Featured Track/Race: | Churchill Downs – Race 2 |
Race overview: | A seemingly average 2yo MSW for restricted sale horses, which makes stiff open MSW dropper #8 MIDSUMMER SOIREE (5-2) look mighty tough. |
Pace: | It should be honest, as the pick will be involved throughout, and there are some expected fast firsters entered too. |
Trends: | The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred. |
Best Play: | #8 MIDSUMMER SOIREE (5-2): Bargain 10k buy set the pace against open maidens on debut before tiring, so this is a seismic class drop, for the potent team of Hartman and Murrill (29%). |
Bet Types: | Aggressive win bet at 9-5 or better and single in the early Pk5, and to kick off the Pk4 as well. |
Meet/POD Stats: | CD Meet: 86-20-13-16 ($1.43/$4.57 ROI through 11/13)
CD POD: 8-2-1-0 ($1.38/$3.63 ROI through 11/13)
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