Play of the Day Thurs 11.17.22
“PLAY of the DAY” by Brian Nadeau | |
Date: | 11/17/2022 |
Featured Track/Race: | Churchill Downs – Race 6 |
Race overview: | A decent 32k claimer sprinting on the main, with a few class risers in off good runs, and a few dropping off suspect ones. |
Pace: | There’s not a ton here, which means #1 ASH FLAT (5-1) should be able to control from inside early, especially since he’s facing much easier this time. |
Trends: | The main track played on the fair side last week, as winners came from everywhere, though being down inside seemed preferred. |
Best Play: | #1 ASH FLAT (5-1): Aforementioned potential Lone F drops off the 50k Hartman claim (24%) and is in for 32k, but with the huge purses there’s no worry here, and he won’t have to duel like he did at Kee, not to mention the cutback will help a ton too. |
Bet Types: | Aggressive WP bet and a must-use/potential single in the middle Pk4, and to kick off the late Pk5 as well. |
Meet/POD Stats: | CD Meet: 86-20-13-16 ($1.43/$4.57 ROI through 11/13)
CD POD: 8-2-1-0 ($1.38/$3.63 ROI through 11/13)
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