Play of the Day – March 20th 2021
Play of the Day | |
Race Date | March 20, 2021 |
Track | Fair Grounds |
Race | 14 |
Overview | A stellar renewal of the Louisiana Derby (G2), as the local top-3 have been great all winter, and there are some solid outside invaders as well. |
Pace | It should be middling, as there is some longshot inside speed (#2 Rightandjust 20-1), as well as some stalkers like #6 Mandaloun (8-5). |
Trends | Being close on the dirt has been the way to go throughout the meet, as come-from-behind closers are up against it, regardless of the long stretch. |
Best Bet | MANDALOUN |
Number | 6 |
Morning Line | (8-5) |
Best Bet Overview | #6 MANDALOUN (8-5): The deserving favorite added blinkers in the local Risen Star (G2) and looked like a new horse, should only appreciate the added distance, and has a running style to sit just off the speed and get first run on the stalker/closers. |
Picks & Plays | Aggressive win bet at 6-5 or better, strong EX 6-4, though his real value comes in ending the estimated 750k guaranteed all-stakes late Pk5/Pk4, as you can single him, and spread deeper in the preceding races. |
Stats | 128-28-17-9 ($1.83/$4.94 ROI through 3/14) GP Meet: 781-208-133-118 ($1.75/$5.08 ROI through 3/14) |