Play of the Day
Race Date November 13, 2020
Track Churchill Downs
Race 4
Overview A compact 50k claimer that has an evenly matched group, though #1 ELUSIVE MOLLY (5-2) seems to have a race flow edge.
Pace It looks like #1 ELUSIVE MOLLY (5-2) can control the tempo on the switch back to dirt, as she’s on the rail and meets a group of stalker/closers.
Trends Tactical speed continues to play well on the main, and there have been days when the inside has been good, so take note of where horses are coming from early on in the card.
Best Bet ELUSIVE MOLLY
Number 1
Morning Line (5-2)
Best Bet Overview #1 ELUSIVE MOLLY (5-2): She’s been running on turf, and against better, but has plenty of dirt form to fall back on, and looks like a Lone F in a paceless race as well.
Picks & Plays Aggressive WP bet and a must-use/potential single in the early Pk5/Pk4, and to kick off the middle Pk4 as well.
Stats 41-8-5-4 ($1.57/$4.51 ROI through 11/12) CD Meet: 21-99 ($1.54/$4.66 ROI through 11/12)