Play of the Day – November 27th 2021
Play of the Day | |
Race Date | November 27, 2021 |
Track | Churchill Downs |
Race | 8 |
Overview | A wide, wide open two-turn AOC for 2yos where several of the favorites are tough to trust, which therefore makes this a very appealing race to go price shopping. |
Pace | There seems to be plenty here, so I’m leaning towards those who have shown the ability to settle and pass horses late. |
Trends | The track continues to play honest, with speed holding, though stalker/closers still had a fair go of it too. |
Best Bet | KEVIN’S FOLLY |
Number | 8 |
Morning Line | (12-1) |
Best Bet Overview | #8 KEVIN’S FOLLY (12-1): Price player had zero chance from the parking lot in the G1 last time but drew better here, drops drastically in class, and should close late, as he did when 3rd in the G1 Hopeful two-back. |
Picks & Plays | WPS bet and a must-use in the middle Pk5/Pk4, and to kick off the late Pk5 as well. |
Stats | 2021: 283-64-43-37 ($1.50/$4.76 ROI overall through 11/21) CD Meet: 136-46-19-18 ($2.32/$5.94 ROI through 11/21) |